Is the Cellular Shooter Market Saturated? Prime Recommendations on How one can Innovate in a Crowded Style

Video video games and shooters have been entwined for the reason that early ‘90s. The style shot into reputation with the discharge of id software program’s DOOM, promoting practically 10 million copies in simply two years and producing tons of of clones. Quick observe a decade later, and in 2007, Name of Obligation grew to become a family identify after the breakout success of Trendy Warfare, with the blockbuster franchise amassing greater than $30bn in lifetime gross sales. 

As shooter video games continued to develop in reputation and spin out into new subgenres, it was solely a matter of time till builders turned their sights to the cellular market – however the largest barrier was the dearth of controllers. For a very long time, shooter video games on cellular have been a distinct segment style, and the touch-screen controls have been thought of cumbersome in comparison with their console counterparts which use devoted controllers. 

In recent times, nonetheless, cellular shooters comparable to Name of Obligation, Free Fireplace, and PUBG: Cellular have soared to the highest of the charts. A lot of that success is owed to gaming’s ‘Battle Royale growth.’ Fortnite has change into a worldwide phenomenon, and battle royale shooters comparable to Free Fireplace and PUBG: Cellular have established themselves as worthy rivals. Name of Obligation has additionally established itself on smaller screens with a cellular iteration of its blockbuster franchise, full with its personal battle royale mode.   

However is the market changing into oversaturated? Beneath, we take a deeper dive into the highest-grossing and most downloaded shooters on the cellular market to see which subgenres builders must be focussing on in the event that they wish to make an impression within the shooter house. 

The most well-liked cellular shooters

A snapshot of the US iOS top-grossing 500 shooter market (source: GameRefinery Platform).
A snapshot of the US iOS top-grossing 500 shooter market (supply: GameRefinery Platform).

Three titles dominate the US iOS shooter market: Name of Obligation: Cellular, PUBG MOBILE, and Free Fireplace. These three take up about 80% of the market share within the West, with the remainder (20%) being evenly divided throughout different titles. These three titles closely deal with beauty in-app purchases (IAP). For instance, gamers can purchase ornamental skins for his or her characters, companions, automobiles, and weapons by way of gacha mechanics, battle passes, or direct purchases. 

Free Fireplace differentiates from the opposite two high canine as though the principle focus of its in-app purchases is beauty, the gadgets on the market additionally present character and weapon buffs. The highest-end weapon skins, as an illustration, change the attributes of weapons barely to present a slight edge in aggressive play, whereas characters and pets will be upgraded with numerous expertise that modify gameplay. 

On condition that Free Fireplace doesn’t have the identical IP recognition that PC and console powerhouses like Name of Obligation and PUBG have, the builders possible felt the necessity to give gamers an additional incentive to purchase into the sport. The consequence speaks for itself; Free Fireplace has manner larger income per obtain than its rivals, with round $29 ARPD in comparison with PUBG Cellular’s $12 ARPD and Name of Obligation: Cellular’s $7.30 ARPD.

Character development and weapon skin attributes in Free Fire.
Character improvement and weapon pores and skin attributes in Free Fireplace.
All-time revenue per download for the top three mobile shooters (US iOS). (Source GameRefinery Platform).
All-time income per obtain for the highest three cellular shooters (US iOS). (Supply GameRefinery Platform).

Relating to the broader market, most shooters among the many top-grossing 500 focus their monetization on upgrades and different highly effective in-app purchases—this could possible be attributed to the calls for of fuelling a purely beauty enterprise mannequin. 

Gamers should often be supplied with thrilling new playable content material alongside a raft of purchasable cosmetics to gas the in-game economic system. Titles like Name of Obligation obtain this each month with new lessons, maps, sport modes, and extra attributable to being based mostly on a blockbuster franchise. Smaller studios would little question battle to maintain up, in order that they go for energy development to realize a better income per obtain and allow a extra sustainable, much less content-driven mannequin.

Nonetheless, this does include sure downsides. Tying participant development to monetization is usually criticized by gamers for being ‘pay-to-win,’ notably in genres closely centered on aggressive multiplayer. If a fragile steadiness isn’t achieved, there will be backlash amongst gamers, which may result in damaging opinions flooding in on your sport.

Call of Duty: Mobile’s engagement events over a two-week period. (Source: GameRefinery Live Events Tracker.)
Name of Obligation: Cellular’s engagement occasions over a two-week interval. (Supply: GameRefinery Stay Occasions Tracker.)

Which shooter subgenres ought to builders pursue? 

With Name of Obligation, PUBG, and Free Fireplace dominating the cellular shooter market, many builders could surprise if competing within the shooter style is worth it. 

Whereas it’s undoubtedly crowded, those that dig deeper will discover a stunning quantity of uncovered floor on this style. In reality, roughly 4 classes may very well be explored extra within the cellular sport market: extraction shooters, RPG-like looter shooters, survival shooters, and tactical FPS video games. Let’s take a deeper dive into these subgenres. 

Extraction shooters

Extraction shooters are one of many much less crowded shooter subgenres and transfer slower than different titles. The goal is to enter a match, loot gadgets, kill enemies inside a time restrict, and extract from the world earlier than or when the time runs out. These video games are normally PvPvE (participant vs. participant vs. enemy). Common titles on the PC and console market embrace Escape from Tarkov and Hunt: Showdown.

Arena Breakout
Area Breakout

One of many few extraction shooters to make headway on cellular platforms (notably within the Chinese language market) is Area Breakout — a realistic-style FPS sport with some survival components, comparable to a extremely complicated well being system. 

Gamers take part in PvPvE matches towards NPCs and different gamers in two sport modes, both with pre-equipped gadgets or with out owned gadgets. Through the match, gamers should think about their bodily well being degree, discover gear and gadgets to loot, kill off enemies and evacuate safely inside the time restrict.

Snapshot on the Chinese iOS top-grossing 200 shooter/survival market (source: GameRefinery Platform).
Snapshot on the Chinese language iOS top-grossing 200 shooter/survival market (supply: GameRefinery Platform).

Area Breakout has a particular monetization mannequin. Not like different shooters, it doesn’t deal with cosmetics or energy development however as a substitute on gathering gadgets that may be traded and misplaced within the battle. Pushing gamers in the direction of buying security packing containers to save lots of their most treasured gadgets from being stolen differentiates Area Breakout from the extra power-orientated development shooters, as even when weapons will be considerably upgraded, there may be nonetheless a must buy a security field to maintain gadgets safe. Whereas within the match, if the participant has not saved their gadgets within the security field they usually die through the match, the participant will drop all gadgets they carried with them to the pre-equipped gadgets sport mode for different gamers to steal. 

There haven’t been too many related examples within the cellular sport market but of extraction shooters, though PUBG Cellular has an identical mechanic in a recurring gameplay mode Metro Royale (which additionally attracts inspiration from Escape from Tarkov).

Items can be stored in safety boxes in Arena Breakout.
Gadgets will be saved in security packing containers in Area Breakout.

Survival shooters 

These shooters revolve round a survival theme, usually in a post-apocalyptic surroundings that includes zombies or different threats. These video games normally function detailed climate, starvation, and well being mechanics (amongst others), which should be thought of through the sport to outlive. Exploration and resource-gathering play a giant half in these video games along with fight, with some survival video games additionally implementing shooter mechanics. 

There are only some cellular titles within the Western market that particularly deal with survival gameplay, and at present, there aren’t any shooter survival video games among the many top-grossing ranks on the US iOS platform. Nonetheless, some top-down survival video games, comparable to The Final Day on Earth: Survival, have managed to realize reputation.

Quite the opposite, the PC and console market has plenty of survival shooters, together with the zombie-filled DayZ and post-apocalyptic Rust. Each titles function a large space to discover with different gamers, combining PvE and PvP components. DayZ has monumental maps, with the principle risk stemming from zombies, with occasional encounters with different gamers. In Rust, the principle hazard is different gamers, though there are additionally some PvE components. The most important differentiator between the 2 is Rust’s base-building focus, which will be finished solo or with others.

Area Breakout, LifeAfter, and Undawn within the Chinese language cellular sport market incorporate some components into their gameplay. Undawn is attention-grabbing as a result of it’s a brand new survival title that not too long ago hit the Chinese language and Western cellular markets. 

Round its launch within the CN iOs market, the sport peaked on the top-grossing place 6 however has since dropped exterior the CN top-grossing 200, at present sitting on the top-grossing rank of 371 and sustained obtain rank of 183. Within the US iOs market, the sport is lingering within the sustained top-grossing rank 324 and the sustained obtain rank 260, however has not fairly but reached the top-grossing 200.

The core gameplay of Undawn.
The core gameplay of Undawn.

Undawn is a third-person survival shooter with MMO traits the place the participant is making an attempt to outlive the zombie apocalypse. It’s much like the survival MMO LifeAfter, which has even been visiting the US top-grossing 200. 

In Undawn, gamers associate as much as survive the punishing world to finish numerous duties. There’s a heavy storytelling facet, with cutscenes often interspersed between gameplay that includes a number of principal characters. The sport additionally consists of detailed survival mechanics. Gamers should think about their character’s bodily well being, hygiene, and sleep degree, in addition to put together for altering climate situations to outlive.

Undawn has a detailed survival system, which includes aspects such as sleep deprivation.
Undawn has an in depth survival system, which incorporates features comparable to sleep deprivation.

Typical of a Chinese language midcore sport, Undawn has loads of beauty gadgets for the character and a house system, which will be embellished with numerous buildings. Upgrading the house system is a vital a part of development, because the participant can’t proceed upgrading their character if their dwelling degree is simply too low. This, and lots of different features of the sport, require numerous useful resource gathering—comparable to gathering berries from the forest or capturing animals. Collected supplies are then used to create many gadgets wanted within the sport, together with weapons and meals.  

The sport has two principal focuses for monetization: beauty economic system and materials buying. Beauty gadgets (for the character and their dwelling system) will be bought instantly or with gachas. Materials gadgets are wanted for crafting gear gadgets, comparable to weapons and armor, that are tied to energy development. This stuff can both be collected or bought immediately from the shop. 

This kind of monetization differs considerably from that of the highest US iOS shooter video games for the reason that focus is on supplies moderately than upgrading or gathering characters and weapons. 

Looter shooters 

RPG-like looter shooters are one other subgenre absent from the cellular sport market. The thought of those video games is to have some RPG components (storytelling, character development) mixed with looting and capturing. There’s normally an enormous open space to discover, and the principle goal is to kill off different gamers and AI-controlled enemies. Within the PC and console sphere, these embrace titles comparable to Future and The Division, the latter of which has formally introduced a cellular model.

Destiny 2
Future 2

This kind of shooter may reply a few of RPG gamers’ motivations. When our motivation information, we typically discover just a few motivations which can be being uncared for by builders or don’t function in excessive positions within the US iOS top-grossing shooter video games. These embrace the exploration of recent worlds, gathering treasure, role-playing and feelings.

Missing motivations in the top-three shooters
Lacking motivations within the top-three shooters.

Trying on the above image, discover how these three motivational features are usually not highlighted in the most well-liked shooters:

  • If the main target have been shifted extra in the direction of storytelling, RPG gamers would discover it simpler to change into immersed within the sport by way of its narrative. 
  • The motivation to gather treasure already has fairly a excessive place in lots of high shooter video games, however the open-world expertise may improve this facet even additional if the participant may loot gadgets on a bigger scale. 
  • The third motivation, exploring new worlds, must be added to most top-grossing shooter video games. Having a bigger space to discover would scratch that itch.

Tactical FPS video games 

One other style not often seen on cellular is tactical FPS. Just like extraction shooters, these focus extra on tactical, slow-paced gameplay. Gamers normally kind a crew of 5 and compete towards others in purely PvP gameplay. Within the PC and console sphere, a few of the most well-known titles embrace Counter-Strike and Valorant, the latter of which is rumored to be launching a cellular model quickly. 

When trying once more at our motivation information, we seen that the highest three shooter video games are lacking one facet which options prominently in tactical FPS video games: strategic planning.

The missing motivation in the top-three shooters
The lacking motivation within the top-three shooters.

Out of all of the subgenres we’ve listed, tactical FPS is probably going essentially the most not often encountered on cellular, though some examples stay. Essential Ops is a aggressive FPS sport much like Counter-Strike with clean gameplay and reasonable graphics. The main target is on extremely aggressive, skill-based gameplay with a excessive studying curve, and the sport additionally has eSports and stay tournaments, which sometimes supply real-money prize swimming pools. 

Regardless of being probably the most profitable tactical FPS video games on cellular, it has not appeared within the top-grossing ranks for a considerable time period. That is possible all the way down to the sport being developed by a reasonably small studio, which lacks the mandatory assets to amass new customers and encourage progress. A bigger studio with extra capability would possible fare higher.

Critical Ops
Essential Ops

One to keep away from: Battle Royale

The overwhelming reputation of Fortnite has meant that the battle royale subgenre has change into an enormous facet of cellular gaming, and shooters aren’t any exception—with every of the top-three shooters dominating the market. In consequence, it has change into more and more tough for brand new titles to determine themselves.

A major instance of that is Apex Legends Cellular. As a smartphone model of the favored PC and console sport, Apex Legends Cellular launched with a breadth of thrilling options and content material owing to its huge display counterpart and featured distinctive ‘Legends’ characters that differentiated it from different battle royale video games available on the market. Regardless of this, the sport couldn’t acquire a steady place available in the market and was ultimately shut down.

Whereas we will solely speculate the explanations behind this, we suspect it might have been all the way down to the calls for of sustaining the sport’s LiveOps technique (which ran individually from its console counterparts) combined with the immense competitors it confronted from the three shooter giants. With that in thoughts, we’d advocate smaller studios to avoid this subgenre for now.

Legends (characters) in Apex Legends Mobile
Legends (characters) in Apex Legends Cellular

Abstract

With an 80% share of the Western market, Name of Obligation: Cellular, Free Fireplace, and PUBG Cellular share a agency maintain on the cellular shooter throne. Their resource-heavy beauty monetization mannequin, mixed with their reputation on different platforms (at the very least within the case of Name of Obligation and PUBG), will make it difficult to knock these three titans off their podium. 

Different shooters can have the perfect probability of breaking into the market if they’ll introduce some contemporary core gameplay concepts. Given the energy of the ability three and different cellular monoliths comparable to Fortnite, that may imply most builders ought to avoid the Battle Royale style – or else risking a destiny much like Apex Legends. 

Looter shooters are a comparatively untapped market on cellular and will tie into the motivations of many gamers by that includes narrative components and exploration by way of a big open-world. That being stated, Ubisoft plans to deliver The Division to cellular, and Bungie appears set to observe with Future, which means this house could quickly change into crowded.  

Survival and extraction shooters have a handful of in style titles within the Chinese language market, however these subgenres are but to make a big effect in Western markets regardless of their reputation on console and PC platforms, suggesting there are various beneficial properties available. 

Tactical shooters are additionally virtually extraordinary on cellular, suggesting it is perhaps tough to translate such a gameplay onto a small display efficiently. Essential Ops has confirmed it may be finished, though this title hasn’t made a lot impression when it comes to income. We suspect a bigger studio with the capability to additional push UA, and even maybe collaborate with different IP to drum up curiosity, would fare higher.

For those who loved this submit and want to discover this subject even additional, then take a look at a few of our different content material: